The New Orleans Saints (2-3) will try to snap a three-game losing streak when they host the Tampa Bay Buccaneers (3-2) in an NFC South battle on Sunday afternoon. New Orleans opened the season with a pair of wins, but it has dropped its three games since then. Tampa Bay is looking to bounce back from a 36-30 overtime loss at Atlanta last Thursday. The Buccaneers are tied with the Falcons atop the NFC South standings, while the Saints are one game back.
Kickoff is set for 1 p.m. ET on Sunday at Caesars Superdome. The Buccaneers are favored by 3.5 points in the latest Saints vs. Buccaneers odds, while the over/under is 41.5 points, per SportsLine consensus. Before entering any Buccaneers vs. Saints picks, you’ll want to see the NFL predictions from the model at SportsLine.
The model, which simulates every NFL game 10,000 times, is up well over $7,000 for $100 players on top-rated NFL picks since its inception. The model enters Week 6 of the 2024 NFL season on an incredible 10-2 hot streak on top-rated NFL picks this year. Longer term, it is on a 191-131 roll on top-rated NFL picks that dates back to the 2017 season and a 45-23 roll on top-rated NFL picks since Week 7 of 2022.
The model also ranked in the top 10 on NFLPickWatch four of the past six years on straight-up NFL picks and beat more than 94% of CBS Sports Football Pick’em players four times during that span. Anyone who has followed it is way up.
The model has set its sights on Tampa Bay vs. New Orleans. You can head to SportsLine to see its picks. Here are several NFL betting lines for the game:
- Saints vs. Buccaneers spread: Bucs -3.5
- Saints vs. Buccaneers over/under: 41.5 points
- Saints vs. Buccaneers money line: Bucs -190, Saints +151
- Saints vs. Buccaneers picks: See picks here
- Saints vs. Buccaneers streaming: FuboTV (Try for free)
Why the Saints can cover
New Orleans has a losing record entering Week 6, but only one of its losses has come by more than three points. The Saints are going to be without starting quarterback Derek Carr (oblique), giving rookie Spencer Rattler an opportunity to make the first start of his career. The fifth-round pick drew praise from the coaching staff during training camp, and he threw 38 passes across three preseason appearances.
Rattler had 202 passing yards and one passing touchdown while rushing seven times for 26 yards and another score in those games. New Orleans has one of the run-heaviest offenses in the league, which gives Rattler a chance to settle in. Star running back Alvin Kamara has 388 rushing yards and five touchdowns, averaging 4.3 yards per carry. See which team to pick here.
Why the Buccaneers can cover
Tampa Bay is coming off a narrow overtime loss at Atlanta, but it won three of its first four games this season. The Buccaneers took down some of the top teams in the league during that stretch, beating the Commanders, Lions and Eagles. They are facing a depleted New Orleans offense that is without its starting quarterback and is riding a three-game losing streak.
Buccaneers quarterback Baker Mayfield has completed 71.9% of his passes for 1,164 yards, 11 touchdowns and two interceptions so far this season. He leads an offense that ranks inside the top 10 in the NFL in scoring, averaging 25.4 points per game. Tampa Bay has been undervalued dating back to last season, covering the spread in 12 of its last 18 games, including nine of its last 12 road games. See which team to pick here.
How to make Saints vs. Buccaneers picks
The model has simulated Buccaneers vs. Saints 10,000 times and the results are in. The model is leaning Over, and it’s also generated a point-spread pick that is hitting in well over 50% of simulations. You can only see the pick at SportsLine.
So who wins New Orleans vs. Tampa Bay on Sunday, and which side of the spread hits well over 50% of the time? Visit SportsLine right now to see which side of the Buccaneers vs. Saints spread you should be all over Sunday, all from the model on a 191-131 roll on its top-rated NFL picks, and find out.
