Derrick Henry (Ravens), Saquon Barkley (Eagles), Austin Ekeler (Commanders) and Josh Jacobs (Packers) are just a few of the top running backs playing for new teams. How should their new homes affect your 2024 Fantasy football rankings and should you expect a boost or decline? Henry and Barkley are consistent top 2024 Fantasy football picks, but now that they join running quarterbacks, will that lead to a decline in their 2024 Fantasy football projections? Jalen Hurts was second in the NFL with 15 rushing touchdowns, while Lamar Jackson was 22nd and led all quarterbacks in rushing yards (821). Now that Jackson and Hurts have elite, established running backs, will their rushing totals decline, which would negatively affect their spots in the 2024 Fantasy football RB rankings? How high should you be targeting these options in 2024 Fantasy football drafts?
It’s critical to target 2024 Fantasy football sleepers and 2024 Fantasy football breakouts while avoiding 2024 Fantasy football busts. Before setting your 2024 Fantasy football draft strategy, be sure to check out the 2024 Fantasy football rankings and cheat sheets from the proven computer model at SportsLine.
Last year, the model accurately predicted that Buccaneers running back Rachaad White was being dramatically undervalued. White was coming off the board in the seventh round on average in 12-team PPR leagues, but he emerged as Tampa Bay’s workhorse ball carrier and provided significantly more value than expected, finishing No. 4 at his position. White rushed for 990 yards and six touchdowns while adding 64 catches for 549 yards and three more scores as a receiver. Anybody who followed the model’s advice scored an every week starting running back in the middle rounds.
The same model has a proven track record providing Fantasy football tips, identifying A.J. Brown as a sleeper in 2020 and nailing Jonathan Taylor’s monstrous season in 2021. Additionally, it’s called past Fantasy football sleepers like Derrick Henry in 2019, Christian McCaffrey and Alvin Kamara in 2018, and Davante Adams in 2017. Anybody who banked on players like those made a run at their league title.
The model is powered by the same people who generated projections for all three major Fantasy sites, and it beat human experts last season when there was a big difference in ranking. The 2024 Fantasy football PPR rankings and 2024 Fantasy football standard projections update multiple times daily, so you’re always getting the best Fantasy football advice.
Now, SportsLine has simulated the entire NFL season 10,000 times and released its latest 2024 Fantasy football rankings, along with plenty of sleepers, breakouts and busts. Head to SportsLine now to see them.
Top 2024 Fantasy football sleepers
One of the 2024 Fantasy football sleepers the model is predicting: Browns running back Nick Chubb. After making four consecutive Pro Bowls from 2019-2022, Chubb suffered a catastrophic knee injury in Week 2 against the Steelers last season that wound up requiring two surgeries. One to repair his medial capsule (meniscus and MCL) in his left leg in September and then another to repair his ACL in November.
However, Chubb is already running and while the exact timetable for his return isn’t known, there’s optimism that he could be back on the field early in 2024. Chubb is currently the 36th running back off the board in early CBS Sports PPR drafts but the model is predicting he finishes as a top-24 running back. He’s averaged 5.3 yards per carry throughout his career and runs behind one of the best run-blocking offensive lines in football and will be a clear factor if he can get healthy. See more Fantasy football sleepers 2024 here.
Top 2024 Fantasy football breakouts
One of the 2024 Fantasy football breakouts the model is predicting: Colts quarterback Anthony Richardson. The Indianapolis signal caller would have been a Fantasy breakout last year if not for injuries limiting him to just four games. He averaged nearly 30 Fantasy points per game in the two contests that he started and finished, which would have put him on pace to be the QB1 overall.
Richardson finished with 577 passing yards and three passing touchdowns while adding 136 rushing yards and four more scores. There are not many quarterbacks in the league who can provide the versatility that Richardson offers to Fantasy owners, so his ceiling is as high as any player at his position. SportsLine’s model ranks Richardson ahead of proven quarterbacks like Jared Goff, Trevor Lawrence and Justin Herbert. See more Fantasy football breakouts 2024 here.
Top 2024 Fantasy football busts
As for players to avoid, the model lists Bills tight end Dalton Kincaid as one of its 2024 Fantasy football busts. He’s being selected as a top-five tight end in 2024 Fantasy football drafts in ADP despite finishing outside the top 10 at the position in Fantasy football scoring last season. He was 10th among tight ends in receiving yards (673) and eighth in receptions (73). The second-year player is likely in line for a higher target share with Stefon Diggs in Houston and Gabe Davis in Jacksonville, but the Buffalo offense also may not be as dynamic without Diggs to open up opportunities for Kincaid in the middle of the field.
The potential for an increased target share is drastically affecting his ADP, but Fantasy football players may be overlooking the offense’s lack of explosiveness to keep drives going and score touchdowns. The SportsLine model has Kincaid ranked at TE10 and a tier below a cluster of options above him. Given Kincaid’s lack of proven NFL success and him being selected ahead of tight ends such as George Kittle and Kyle Pitts, the model suggests passing on Kincaid and finding value at tight end elsewhere in 2024 Fantasy football drafts. See more Fantasy football busts 2024 here
How to find proven 2024 Fantasy football football rankings
SportsLine is also extremely high on a surprising quarterback you aren’t even thinking about being taken in the middle rounds of 2024 Fantasy football drafts. This quarterback is listed as a shocking top-10 option ahead of stars like Trevor Lawrence and Aaron Rodgers. You can only see who it is, and the 2023 Fantasy football rankings for every player, at SportsLine.
So which 2024 Fantasy Football sleepers, breakouts and busts should you target and fade, and which QB shocks the NFL with a top-10 performance? Visit SportsLine now to get 2024 Fantasy Football cheat sheets for every single position, all from the model that nailed Deebo Samuel as a bust last year, and find out.
