Fantasy Football Rankings 2024: Busts from same NFL model that predicted Jaylen Waddle's poor season



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A popular 2024 Fantasy football draft strategy will be to stack players from the same team like an elite quarterback and a top pass-catcher. Patrick Mahomes and Travis Kelce are top 2024 Fantasy football picks, but there others available this season. Kirk Cousins and Drake London could move up the 2024 Fantasy football rankings, while Kyler Murray and Marvin Harrison Jr. carry potential as well. Those who drafted the Aaron Rodgers and Garrett Wilson duo a year ago got just four plays out of Rodgers and, as a result, one of the biggest Fantasy football busts. Stacking can be a high-risk, high-reward 2024 Fantasy football strategy, so is it one to pursue for your league? As you finalize your 2024 Fantasy football draft prep, be sure to check out the 2024 Fantasy football cheat sheets from the proven computer model at SportsLine.

Last year, the model accurately predicted that Dolphins wide receiver Jaylen Waddle would fail to live up to his Fantasy football ADP. Waddle’s 2023 Fantasy football ADP was 34.86 overall and he was the 11th receiver off the board on average. He’d go on to notch a 1,000-yard season but only had 72 receptions with four touchdowns and he’d finish as the No. 34 Fantasy football wide receiver in CBS Sports PPR leagues.

The same model has a proven track record providing Fantasy football tips, identifying A.J. Brown as a sleeper in 2020 and nailing Jonathan Taylor’s monstrous season in 2021. Additionally, it’s called past Fantasy football sleepers like Derrick Henry in 2019, Christian McCaffrey and Alvin Kamara in 2018, and Davante Adams in 2017. Anybody who banked on players like those made a run at their league title.

The model is powered by the same people who generated projections for all three major Fantasy sites, and it beat human experts last season when there was a big difference in ranking. The 2024 Fantasy football PPR rankings and 2024 Fantasy football standard projections update multiple times daily, so you’re always getting the best Fantasy football advice.

Now, SportsLine has simulated the entire NFL season 10,000 times and released its latest Fantasy football rankings 2024, along with plenty of sleepers, breakouts and busts. Head to SportsLine now to see them. 

Top 2024 Fantasy football busts

One of the 2024 Fantasy football busts the model is predicting: Jaguars tight end Evan Engram. It took seven years, but the former first-round pick finally had a breakout season. Engram had 114 receptions — second-most ever by a tight end — to go along with a career-high of 963 yards and four touchdowns. However, there are several factors which indicate that Engram won’t come close to replicating those numbers in 2024.

Engram’s advanced metrics from last year are a bit concerning. His 8.4 yards per catch ranked 28th out of 29 qualified tight ends, his 4.0 yards before catch per reception was a career low, and his 4.5 YAC/reception was the second-lowest of his career. While the Jags lost Calvin Ridley, they replaced him with both Gabe Davis and first-round pick Brian Thomas Jr., so Engram likely won’t have as many targets this year. The SportsLine model has Engram on par with Philly’s Dallas Goedert, but Goedert is being drafted two rounds later on average, making Engram a potential bust given his 2024 Fantasy football ADP.

Another bust that SportsLine’s Fantasy football rankings 2024 have identified: Rams quarterback Matthew Stafford. He averaged 264.3 passing yards and 16.9 Fantasy points per game last season, finishing as the QB14 in Fantasy. His owners relied heavily on his yards per attempt (ninth), as he was outside the top 20 in adjusted completion rate and Fantasy points per dropback.

Stafford is entering his age-36 season and has been interception-prone, so he has a shaky outlook compared to other quarterbacks going off the board at a similar ADP. He also offers zero rushing upside, which is an increasingly important factor in Fantasy football. The model has him ranked outside the top 20 at his position, suggesting that you should look elsewhere for your Fantasy quarterback. See which other Fantasy football busts 2024 to avoid here.

How to find proven 2024 Fantasy football rankings

SportsLine is also low on a wide receiver who is being drafted as a top-15 player at his position. The model ranks him outside its top 20 wide receivers for 2024 and expects him to see major regression. You can only see who it is, and the 2024 Fantasy football rankings for every player, at SportsLine.

So which 2024 Fantasy Football busts should you avoid, and which receiver will fail to live up to expectations? Visit SportsLine now to get 2024 Fantasy Football cheat sheets for every single position, all from the model that told you to avoid Jaylen Waddle in 2023, and find out.





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