The 2025 NFL Divisional Round will feature four star-studded showdowns and there’s still time for Fantasy football players to get in on the action. Commanders vs. Lions has the highest over/under at 55.5 points, meaning stacking players from both teams could be a popular strategy for Divisional Round Fantasy football picks, NFL props, and NFL DFS lineups. Jared Goff, Jayden Daniels and Jahymr Gibbs are all expected to be among the top picks in the NFL Divisional Round Fantasy football rankings.
Developing a playoff Fantasy football strategy that works comes down to the format you’re playing and understanding the Divisional Round Fantasy football matchups. Having a live-updated set of NFL Divisional Round Fantasy football rankings could set you up for success by ensuring you nail those difficult start-sit decisions. Before setting your NFL Divisional Round Fantasy football lineups or betting any player props on sites like PrizePicks, be sure to check out the NFL Divisional Round Fantasy football rankings and projections from the proven computer model at SportsLine.
When it comes to ranking players, SportsLine’s model beat human experts in Fantasy football for the past several seasons, especially when there were big differences in ranking. Over the course of a season, that could literally be the difference between winning your league or going home empty-handed.
The same model has a proven track record of providing Fantasy football tips, including being ahead of the curve on players like A.J. Brown, Jonathan Taylor, Derrick Henry, Christian McCaffrey, Alvin Kamara, and Jahmyr Gibbs. Anybody who banked on players like those could have made a run at their league title.
Now, SportsLine has simulated the entire Divisional Round NFL schedule 10,000 times and released its latest NFL Divisional Round Fantasy football rankings and projections. Head to SportsLine now to see them.
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Top NFL Divisional Round Fantasy football QB projections
For NFL Divisional Round 2025, the model projects the top Fantasy football quarterback to be Lamar Jackson of the Baltimore Ravens. Jackson has been on a tear all season long. He finished the regular season with 4,172 passing yards, which ranked sixth in the league, and 41 touchdown passes, the second-most in the NFL. He’s also been extremely effective with his legs, rushing for 915 yards and four touchdowns in the regular season.
In last week’s win over the Steelers, Jackson completed 16 of 21 pass attempts for 175 yards and two touchdowns while also carrying the ball 15 times for 81 yards. On Sunday, Jackson and the Ravens will take on the Buffalo Bills, a team he’s had success against already this season. In Baltimore’s win over Buffalo on Sept. 29, Jackson finished with 156 passing yards and two touchdowns. He also had six carries for 54 yards and another score. The model predicts Jackson will score 26.22 Fantasy points on average this week and projects that he’ll throw for 220 yards and 1.88 touchdowns on average while also rushing for 56 yards and 0.21 touchdowns. See more top QBs here.
Top NFL Divisional Round Fantasy football RB projections
Another 2025 NFL Divisional Round projection from the model, the top Fantasy football running back is Jahmyr Gibbs of the Lions. A somewhat surprising No. 12 overall pick in the 2023 NFL Draft, Gibbs quickly vindicated Detroit head coach Dan Campbell and general manager Brad Holmes by piling up 1,261 scrimmage yards and 11 touchdowns as a rookie despite splitting time with David Montgomery. This year, he’s been even better and has elevated his game once again since Montgomery (knee) was placed on injured reserve late in the season.
Gibbs has produced 487 scrimmage yards and scored six touchdowns in the three weeks since Montgomery was sidelined. He finished the season with 1,412 rushing yards and 16 touchdowns while adding 52 catches for 517 yards and four more scores. Against Washington’s 30th-ranked run defense, the model predicts he rushes for 100 yards and 0.97 touchdowns while adding 3.8 receptions for 38 yards and 0.29 touchdowns to produce 25.13 points in PPR leagues on average. See more top RBs here.
Top NFL Divisional Round Fantasy football WR projections
For NFL Divisional Round 2025, the model also projects the top Fantasy football wide receiver will be Lions wide receiver Amon-Ra St. Brown. For the second season in a row, St. Brown is first-team NFL All-Pro after catching 115 passes for 1,263 yards and 12 touchdowns. The former fourth-round pick scored in eight consecutive games at one point during the season and he’s scored in three of four games entering this weekend.
In three postseason games last year (his first time playing in the NFL playoffs), St. Brown caught 22 passes for 274 yards and a touchdown. He expects to be similarly involved in his 2025 postseason debut against a Commanders squad that he busted up for nine catches, 116 yards and two touchdowns in his only meeting with them in 2022. The model predicts that St. Brown averages 6.5 catches for 78 yards and 0.73 touchdowns to finish with 18.87 points in PPR leagues on average and lead all wide receivers. See more top WRs here.
Top NFL Divisional Round Fantasy football TE projections
Included in the 2025 NFL Divisional Round projections from the model, the top Fantasy football tight end is predicted to be Lions tight end Sam LaPorta. Playing in the NFL’s most diversified offense, LaPorta saw his target rate decline from 2023 to 2024 but he was still one of the most productive tight ends in the NFL on a per-touch basis. On 83 targets, he caught 60 passes for 726 yards and seven touchdowns in 16 games.
Despite ranking 26th in the NFL in target rate, he ranked ninth in the league in PPR points per target (2.10) and he reached double-digits in DraftKings scoring each of the last six weeks of the season. Now the model is projecting that he accounts for a league-high 11.95 Fantasy points on average. It predicts that he catches 3.9 passes for 48 yards and 0.52 touchdowns on average. See more top TEs here.
Top NFL Divisional Round Fantasy football D/ST projections
For NFL Divisional Round 2025, the model projects the top Fantasy football D/ST to be the Kansas City Chiefs. They’ll host the Houston Texans in the first matchup of NFL Divisional Round 2025 on Saturday and will look to take advantage of a disastrous Houston offensive line. The Texans gave up a staggering 54 sacks on the season and C.J. Stroud took a major step in terms of ball security (12 interceptions and seven fumbles).
Meanwhile, the Chiefs ranked fourth in the NFL in scoring defense and ninth in total defense during the regular season. Kansas City also forced three turnovers in the final three games where it played its starters. The model is projecting that the Chiefs account for a league-high 10.5 Fantasy points on average. It predicts that they average 3.21 sacks, 0.67 interceptions and 0.54 fumble recovers with 0.11 defensive touchdowns while only allowing 17 points. See more top D/ST here.
How to get NFL Divisional Round Fantasy football rankings and projections
Now that you know who the top player at each position is and their projected stats, you’ll want to see the full NFL Divisional Round Fantasy football rankings from SportsLine. The model has identified a stunner in the top 10 at wide receiver, and knowing who it is can give you a huge edge in your league. Head to SportsLine now to get NFL Divisional Round Fantasy football rankings and projections.
So who should you target for your playoff Fantasy football leagues, DFS, SGPs and on PrizePicks, and which surprising wide receiver could lead you to a winning week? Visit SportsLine now to get NFL Divisional Round Fantasy Football rankings for every single position, all from the model that has a history of making league-winning calls, and find out.
