2024 RBC Canadian Open odds, field: Surprising PGA picks, predictions from model that's nailed 12 majors

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The 2024 RBC Canadian Open will begin on Thursday at Hamilton Golf Club and for the first time since 1955, a Canadian citizen will return as the defending champion. Nick Taylor won in a thrilling playoff against Tommy Fleetwood last season and now he’ll look to become the first Canadian ever to win the national open in back-to-back seasons. Taylor added a fourth career PGA Tour win earlier this season at the WM Phoenix Open and he’s 30th in the Official World Golf Ranking as he begins his title defense.

Taylor is listed at +7000 in the 2024 RBC Canadian Open odds and other Canadian contenders include Corey Conners (+2500), Mackenzie Hughes (+4500) and Adam Hadwin (+5500). Rory McIlroy won the RBC Canadian Open in 2019 and 2022 and he’s the +330 favorite in this week’s PGA odds. Before making any 2024 RBC Canadian Open picks, be sure to see the golf predictions and projected leaderboard from the proven computer model at SportsLine.

SportsLine’s proprietary model, built by DFS pro Mike McClure, has been red-hot since the PGA Tour resumed in June of 2020. In fact, the model is up almost $9,000 on its best bets since the restart, nailing tournament after tournament.

McClure’s model correctly predicted Scheffler would finish on top of the leaderboard at the 2024 Masters, the Arnold Palmer Invitational, and The Players Championship this season. McClure also included Hideki Matsuyama in his best bets to win the 2024 Genesis Invitational. That bet hit at +9000, and for the entire tournament, McClure’s best bets returned nearly $1,000. And at the 2024 PGA Championship, the model correctly called Xander Schauffele’s first major victory heading into the weekend. 

The model also predicted Rahm would be victorious at the 2023 Sentry Tournament of Champions and The American Express. At the 2023 Masters, the model was all over Rahm’s second career major victory heading into the weekend. Rahm was two strokes off the lead heading into the third round, but the model still projected him as the winner. It was the second straight Masters win for the model, which also nailed Scheffler winning in 2022.

In addition, McClure’s best bets included Nick Taylor (70-1) winning the 2023 RBC Canadian Open, Jason Day (17-1) winning outright at the 2023 AT&T Byron Nelson, and Rickie Fowler (14-1) finishing on top of the leaderboard at the 2023 Rocket Mortgage Classic.

This same model has also nailed a whopping 12 majors entering the weekend, including the last three Masters and the 2024 PGA Championship. Anyone who has followed it has seen massive returns.

Now that the RBC Canadian Open 2024 field is finalized, SportsLine simulated the tournament 10,000 times, and the results were surprising. Head to SportsLine now to see the projected leaderboard.

Top 2024 RBC Canadian Open predictions 

One major surprise the model is calling for at the RBC Canadian Open 2024: Fleetwood, who finished as the runner-up last year and has the second-shortest odds this year, stumbles and barely cracks the top five. Fleetwood has made the cut in 114 of 136 PGA Tour events that he has played in, but he is still seeking his first victory. He has been outside the top 10 in his last three tournaments this season, including a T49 finish at the RBC Heritage. 

Fleetwood ranks outside the top 100 on the PGA Tour in driving distance, GIR percentage and shots gained: approach to green. He did not play in this event when it was hosted by Hamilton Golf Club in 2019, which puts him at a disadvantage against some of the other golfers in the field. SportsLine’s model does not like Fleetwood’s chances of finally breaking through with a PGA Tour victory this week. See who else to fade here.

Another surprise: Sam Burns, a 25-1 longshot, makes a strong run at the title. He has a much better chance to win it all than his odds imply, so he’s a target for anyone looking for a huge payday. The 27-year-old is the No. 27 player in the world and the five-time PGA Tour winner is searching for his first victory in 2024 after winning at least once in each of the last three seasons.

Burns has four top-10 finishes on the season and also had a top-five finish at the Canadian Open in 2022. Well known as one of the best putters on the PGA Tour, Burns enters the week ranked 51st in strokes gained: putting but he was top 10 in that category in each of the last three seasons. If he can turn things around with the flat stick while continuing to gain strokes against the field off the tee and on approach, he’ll be a serious threat this week in Hamilton. See who else to back here. 

How to make 2024 RBC Canadian Open picks

The model is also targeting four other golfers with odds of 25-1 or longer to make a strong run at the title. Anyone who backs these longshots could hit it big. You can only see the model’s picks here.

Who will win the 2024 RBC Canadian Open, and which longshots will stun the golfing world? Check out the RBC Canadian Open 2024 odds below and then visit SportsLine to see the projected RBC Canadian Open leaderboard, all from the model that’s nailed 12 golf majors, including the last three Masters and the 2024 PGA Championship.

2024 RBC Canadian Open odds, field

Get full 2024 RBC Canadian Open picks, best bets and predictions here.

Rory McIlroy +330
Tommy Fleetwood +1800
Sahith Theegala +2000
Shane Lowry +2200
Cameron Young +2200
Sam Burns +2500
Alex Noren +2500
Corey Conners +2500
Adam Scott +3000
Keith Mitchell +3500
Maverick McNealy +4000
Aaron Rai +4500
Mackenzie Hughes +4500
Akshay Bhatia +5000
Tom Kim +5000
Davis Thompson +5000
Erik van Rooyen +5500
Adam Hadwin +5500
Taylor Pendrith +6000
Kevin Yu +7000
Nick Taylor +7000
Matt Wallace +7500
Daniel Berger +7500
Doug Ghim +8000
Ryan Fox +8000
Mark Hubbard +8000
Ben Griffin +8000
Nicolai Hojgaard +8000
Robert MacIntyre +8000
Beau Hossler +8000
Ryo Hisatsune +9000
Davis Riley +9000
Thorbjorn Olesen +9000
Seamus Power +10000
Eric Cole +10000
Adam Svensson +10000
Sam Stevens +11000
Greyson Sigg +11000
K.H. Lee +11000
S.H. Kim +11000
Luke List +11000
Matt Kuchar +12000
Andrew Novak +12000
Chan Kim +12000
Jhonattan Vegas +12000
Joseph Bramlett +12000
Nate Lashley +12000
Justin Lower +12000
Victor Perez +12000
Michael Kim +12000
Bud Cauley +12000
Sam Ryder +15000
Mac Meissner +15000
Chesson Hadley +15000
Kevin Tway +15000
Matti Schmid +15000
Ben Silverman +15000
C.T. Pan +15000
J.J. Spaun +15000
Gary Woodland +15000

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