2024 John Deere Classic odds, picks, field: Surprising predictions from golf model that's called 13 majors

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The 2024 John Deere Classic brings the competition back to TPC Deere Run for the first time since 2015. The course in Silvis, Ill., is notorious for low-scoring rounds and has played host to some very exciting sudden death finishes. That includes two victories by Jordan Spieth, who won at TPC Deere run in 2013 and again in 2015. Spieth will try to rediscover that dominance at the 2024 John Deere Classic, although he is 20-1 in the 2024 John Deere Classic odds as he searches for his first PGA Tour win of the season.

Sungjae Im is the 14-1 favorite on the PGA odds board, followed by Sepp Straka (15-1) and Aaron Rai (16-1). The first tee times come at 7:45 a.m. ET on Thursday. Before locking in your 2024 John Deere Classic picks, be sure to see the PGA predictions and projected leaderboard from the proven computer model at SportsLine.

Our proprietary model, built by DFS pro Mike McClure, has been red-hot since the PGA Tour resumed in June 2020. In fact, the model is up nearly $9,500 on its best bets since the restart, nailing tournament after tournament.

This same model has also nailed a whopping 13 majors entering the weekend, including the 2024 Masters — its third Masters in a row — and this year’s PGA Championship and U.S. Open. Anyone who has followed it has seen massive returns. 

Now with the 2024 John Deere Classic field locked in, SportsLine simulated the tournament 10,000 times, and the results were surprising. Head to SportsLine now to see the projected leaderboard.

Top 2024 John Deere Classic predictions 

One major surprise the model is calling for at the John Deere Classic 2024: Spieth (20-1), a two-time winner of this event and one of the top favorites, doesn’t finish on top. Spieth has often been heralded as one of the best putters on the PGA Tour, and he’ll enter this week’s event ranked seventh in putting average (1.717). 

However, Spieth has finished T29 or worse in each of his last nine starts on the PGA Tour, which includes two missed cuts. He’s also struggled with his irons this season, ranking 70th in greens in regulation percentage (66.05%) and 110th in strokes gained: approach to green (-0.085). TPC Deere Run places a premium on ball striking, which doesn’t bode well for Spieth’s chances to finish on top of the leaderboard. See who else to fade here.

Another surprise: Kevin Yu, a 35-1 longshot, makes a strong run at the title. The 25-year-old is still looking for his first PGA win of the season, but he has been rounding into form and has made the cut in four straight events. He also has three top-10 finishes on the season, including a T4 finish at the Myrtle Beach Classic on May 12.

Yu is ranked fifth overall on the PGA Tour in strokes gained: off the tee (0.734) and 15th overall in strokes gained: approach to green (0.497). This form will help Yu navigate TPC Deere Run, which is known for being a low-scoring course. See who else to back here. 

How to make 2024 John Deere Classic picks

The model is also targeting four other golfers with odds of 22-1 or longer who will make a strong run at the title, and McClure’s best bets include a huge 66-1 longshot to win outright. Anyone who backs these longshots could hit it big. You can only see the model’s picks here.

Who will win the 2024 John Deere Classic, and which longshots will stun the golfing world? Check out the John Deere Classic 2024 odds below and then visit SportsLine to see the projected John Deere Classic leaderboard, all from the model that’s nailed 13 golf majors, including the last three Masters and all three majors this year.

2024 John Deere Classic odds, top contenders 

Get full 2024 John Deere Classic picks, best bets and predictions here.

Sungjae Im 14-1
Sepp Straka 15-1
Aaron Rai 16-1
Denny McCarthy 18-1
Jordan Spieth 20-1
Davis Thompson 22-1
J.T. Poston 28-1
Maverick McNealy 28-1
Nick Dunlap 28-1
Keith Mitchell 30-1
Jason Day 33-1
Kevin Yu 35-1
Sam Stevens 40-1
Beau Hossler 40-1
Adam Svensson 40-1
Eric Cole 45-1
Luke Clanton 45-1
Lucas Glover 50-1
Patrick Rodgers 60-1
Seamus Power 60-1

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